The majority of Ukrainians (83%) believe in Ukraine's victory in the war, while 11% do not, according to the results of a social survey conducted by the Razumkov Center on September 20-26 and presented to the Interfax-Ukraine agency on Wednesday.

Some 72% of residents of the south of the country, 75% of residents of the east, 87% of residents of the west, and 88% of residents of central Ukraine believe in victory. The least number of people do not believe in victory reside in central Ukraine (7%), and the most in the south (21%).

As for the timing of victory, among respondents who believe in it, 39% believe that it will come in 1-2 years, 19.5% believe that it will come before the end of this year, 15% believe that it will take from 3 to 5 years, 5% - more than 5 years, 2% - that victory will happen, but "unlikely in their lifetime." The most optimistic expectations of victory were in February-March 2023. Some 50% believed that victory would come by the end of the year.

Some 38% of those who believe in victory believe that victory can be considered the expulsion of Russian troops from the entire territory of Ukraine and the restoration of the borders as of January 2014. Another 17.5% will consider the destruction of the Russian army and the promotion of an uprising/disintegration within the Russian Federation a victory. 17% will consider the restoration of the status quo as of February 23, 2022, a victory, 7.5% - the expulsion of Russian troops from the entire territory of Ukraine, except for occupied Crimea, and 8% - the end of the war, even if the Russian army remains in the captured territories. as a result of a full-scale invasion (after February 24, 2022). A relative majority (47%) of Ukrainians believe that permission from Western countries for Ukraine to strike targets in Russia with Western weapons without restrictions is more likely to lead to peace in Ukraine than negotiations between Ukraine and Russia (only 29% of respondents believe such negotiations to be a more effective way to achieve peace).

Some 58% of respondents have a positive attitude towards military actions in the Kursk region of the Russian Federation, 20% - a negative one. The majority (65%) of those respondents who believe in Ukraine's victory have a positive attitude (only 15% have a negative attitude), while those who do not believe in victory have a more negative attitude (22% and 50%, respectively).

The survey was conducted by the sociological service of the Razumkov Center as part of the "Join Us!" Civic Engagement Assistance Program funded by the United States Agency for International Development (USAID) and implemented by Pact in Ukraine. The survey was conducted using the face-to-face method in all regions controlled by the Ukrainian government using a stratified multi-stage sample using random selection at the first stages of sample formation and a quota method of selecting respondents at the final stage. The structure of the sample population reproduces the demographic structure of the adult population of the territories where the survey was conducted, as of the beginning of 2022 by age, gender, and type of settlement.

Some 2016 respondents aged 18 years and older were interviewed. The theoretical sampling error does not exceed 2.3%.